Worry as Nagaland COVID-19 recovery rate falls to 31%

Worry as Nagaland COVID-19 recovery rate falls to 31%

Last updated on: August 8, 2020 at 11:44 pm IST

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Doubling rate of cases in Nagaland – 18 days; India – 21 days

Dimapur, August 8: As Nagaland saw an unprecedented spike in COVID-19 cases this week, another worrying aspect is the recovery rate which has fallen much below the national average of 67%. Presently Nagaland is recording a recovery rate of 31%.
But State health authorities claim that a major cause for the lesser recovery rate is the stricter policy of discharge in the State where a negative test is still mandatory.
The COVID-19 weekly bulletin issued by the State Integrated Disease Surveillance Programme, Department of Health & Family Welfare said the SOP issued by the Ministry of Health & Family Welfare, Government of India do not ask/require a negative test for discharge of mild and symptomatic cases. The worry, however, is that out of the total 2688 positive cases detected so far in the State (August 8), only 893 have recovered.
‘Doubling time’
The doubling time of COVID-19 cases in the State is 18 days, which is faster that the doubling time for India at 21 days.
From 204 cases on June 21, it took just 7 days to reach 444 on June 28, which again doubled to 845 in 15 days on July 13. From 845 cases, it took 18 days to reach 1693 on July 31. In 7 days (till Aug 7) 964 more cases were reported to reach 2657 on August 7, and is likely to take less than 18 days to double the July 31st tally of 1693.
In fact last week recorded the highest weekly spike in cases at 964 with majority of cases from the Armed Forces. In the past one week, the State tested 6,016 samples and 964 positive cases were detected.
The positivity rate for the week was 16% as compared to 8% the week before.
‘COVID-19 death’
The State Death Review / Audit Committee has reviewed and confirmed 6 deaths as COVID-19 deaths. The cause of death of a COVID-19 positive patient was not related to COVID-19 infection, according to State health authorities.
Out of 6 COVID deaths, 5 cases have severe comorbidity like diabetes, hypertension, tuberculosis, chronic heart and liver diseases. In India, more than 70% deaths are due to comorbidities. 5/6 or
83% of cases are due to comorbidities in Nagaland.
Of the 6 deaths, 5 are males and 1 female and three cases are below 55 years of age.
Health authorities said for classifying a death as COVID-19 death, the State and District Death Committee’s have to establish a correlation as per ICD-10 and ICMR protocols.
‘Testing rate per 1000’
As per the bulletin, the testing rate per thousand for Nagaland is 19.98, which is higher than the country’s average of 17.36.
The positivity rate in the State has increased from 4.51% to 6.11 % in the past week but it is still lower than the country’s rate of 8.93%.
The bulletin said there are 2 BSL labs and 29 Truenat machines (highest in North East Region) in the State. The State is also using Rapid Antigen Tests for emergency settings and private hospitals have been allowed to use the same.
The BSL-2 lab in Tuensang is expected to be functional soon, it informed. (Page News Service)

State COVID-19 tally rises 2688
Dimapur, August 8: Nagaland on Saturday reported 31 new cases of COVID-19 taking the total cases in the State to 2688. But with 7 deaths and 893 recoveries, the number of active cases in the State is 1785.
Out of the 31 new cases, 12 were detected in Kohima (Traced contacts – 8, Armed Forces – 2, returnees/inbound travelers – 1, others – 1), 10 in Dimapur (Frontline workers – 4, Armed Forces – 3, Traced contacts – 2, Returnees/inbound travelers – 1), 6 in Zunheboto (Armed Forces – 6) and 3 in Wokha (Returnees/inbound travelers – 3).
As per the severity of symptoms, 1,782 active cases are asymptomatic, 1 active case is mild, and 2 active cases are moderate.
Further, out of the 2688 positive cases, the distribution across various categories of people are: 1,184 cases from paramilitary/military, Returnees – 1,056, Frontline workers – 189, traced contacts – 205 and others – 54.
A total of 2,028 persons are presently under facility quarantine in Nagaland. (Page News Service)